The study focuses on the deployment and uptake of broadband access networks and services in South Africa, including both fixed line and wireless access technologies.
Study focus areas and objectives
Market sizing, forecasting, and segmentation of the broadband services market in South Africa. Areas of emphasis include drivers and inhibitors, infrastructure deployment and funding, competitive trends in the market, and a brief overview of international trends such as the relative uptake of key technologies shaping the market, the penetration of devices such as smartphones and tablets, and the impact of Wifi and optical fibre access (FTTx).
Quantitative analysis and forecasts
This study is updated annually, and a key objective of the research is to provide up-to-date market sizing and forecasts, while illustrating the major trends currently and those expected in the next five years.
The study is based on a combination of primary and secondary research and analysis, including an update of BMI-T’s baseline internet and other data services model. The underlying model for the market analysis and forecasts is a bottom-up model by customer group, lending a customer-centric focus to the study in terms of residential vs business trends in access technologies and broadband adoption. Forecasts are based on market scenario analysis, which includes a review of international trends as well as the specific nuances of the local South African environment, including future government policy impact such as SA Connect, and competitive industry dynamics.
The report analyses the rate of rollout of both FTTx and wireless loops, and the impact thereof on the overall competitive market structure, a look at competing broadband services including DSL, Metro Ethernet, Fixed Wireless, 3G WCDMA/HSPA and LTE services. The analysis considers customer uptake, the impact of decreasing prices on ARPUs, and which players will be the chief beneficiaries of the growth trends.
Segmentation
Access technology analysis
| Customer group analysis
|
Key questions answered:
- What is the size and shape of the broadband access market in South Africa?
- Which service categories will grow the fastest in future?
- What technology trends will have the greatest impact?
- What is the shape of the market by customer group?
- How rapidly will broadband access networks be rolled out and adopted, in the SA business and residential market sectors?
- Which players will benefit from the growth?
Research team
Lead analyst for this study is Brian Neilson (BMI-T Research Director and senior telecoms analyst).
Table of Contents
Introduction
Report outline
Executive Summary
Global Broadband Market and Trends
- Global broadband uptake profile
- Mobile network traffic
- FTTx deployment – a massive global trend
- Global PCs and tablet shipments
- Mobile technology shifts
- Application driven demand
- Increases in access technology speeds
- Increases in access technology demand
- Broadband speed improvement by region
- Access speed increases: UK example
- Global FTTx Penetration Snapshot including South Africa
- Future of WiFi as wired complement
SA Broadband Overview
- Mobile networks: Extensive coverage and penetration
- Telkom Mobile network profile
- Mobile broadband by technology
- Primary Internet Access in Urban Households
- SA installed base of broadband capable devices
- SA broadband uptake by access type (excluding handsets)
- Increases in access technology demand: Home Internet Speed
- Home Internet Speed by Primary Internet Technology
- Home Internet Cap by Internet Technology
Broadband Uptake and Infrastructure by Geography
- Penetration of internet services in South Africa
- Internet Access
- beyond Cellphone in Rural Households
- Primary Internet Access in Urban Households
Broadband Rollout, Pricing and Adoption in Future
- Primary broadband inhibitors
- Affordability and penetration: Home internet – Urban households
- Affordability of home broadband and streaming services
- Impact of rollout, investment and pricing: Mobile networks
- Telkom mobile and consumer broadband subscribers
- Suitability of LTE for streaming
- Suitability of LTE and 5G for streaming
- 5G outlook for South Africa
- 5G outlook by use case
- Outlook by use case – forecast scenario inputs
- What 5G enables – broadband fixed wireless use case
- Forecast scenario assumptions: offerings in the market
- Impact of rollout, investment and pricing: Fixed line & fixed wireless networks
Market Segmentation and Forecast
- Forecast assumptions: 5G deployment
- Forecast assumptions: Fibre rollout
- Forecast assumptions: Competition and Service Mix
- Key forecast assumptions: Telkom
- Key forecast assumptions: Residential segment
- Key forecast assumptions: Business segment
- Total SA high-usage connections
- Internet revenue forecast by technology
- Business vs Residential high-usage connections growth
- Wireless access – business and residential
- Business vs Residential broadband connections and revenues
- Business broadband connections
- Business broadband revenue
- Residential broadband connections
- Residential broadband revenue
Annexure: SA Connect Policy Status Update
- SA Connect policy: Original 2013 objectives
- SA Connect’s Digital Development pillar – phased implementation plan
- SA Connect’s Digital Development pillar – Phase 1 broadband rollout plan
- Fast track plan target dateline
- SA Connect – Phase 2
Deliverables and format
The outcomes of the research and analysis are documented in a rich PowerPoint document. Clients are also entitled to a presentation/workshop in Johannesburg (may be combined with other topics at BMI-T’s discretion).
Source: BMIT.Africa
————————————————————–
Have you checked out the new WhichVoIP.co.za website as yet? Benchmark your services against your peers, have a look at what your competitors are doing, get listed in the best Telecoms provider directory in South Africa, and advertise on the site to attract customers to your page where you can view page hits, respond to reviews, load adverts, and more.
Visit WhichVoIP.co.za or jump to a leading comparison section:
- Compare VoIP providers
- Compare Hosted PBX providers
- Compare Telephone systems
- Compare VoIP phones
- Compare Fibre offers
- Compare Wireless providers
Enjoy the site!
————————————————————–
