BMI-T: BMI-T: SA Future of Telecoms 2020

The study is for managers with a strategic role, who want to make sense of emerging telecoms trends, and apply those trends to the South African context, from a commercial point of view.

Businesses which might benefit from this report include the following:

  • Policy makers and regulators, aiming to develop policy and regulation which has the most positive impact on the market, in terms of digital inclusivity, economic stimulation, national competitiveness, innovation and customer choice as changes occur at an ever-escalating rate.
  • Telecoms operators, content and applications developers, or platform developers, wanting to develop strategies about where to invest and how to maximise their market share, but also wanting to defend against new threats.
  • Investors, looking for the best returns or considering specific investment opportunities, but concerned about how the market may change

The Report takes a holistic view of the industry, drawing from a wide variety of sources. The methodology is based on a multi-disciplinary synthesis, informed by the following perspectives and contextual analysis:

  • Technology trends. An overview of technical developments is provided, aimed at highlighting the interdependence of certain technologies, and also the likely timeframes in which they will be important.
  • Policy and Regulatory trends. These include important South African developments (such as spectrum, facilities sharing, 4IR initiatives and anti-competitive findings), with reference to global examples, including national broadband policies, spectrum assignment processes and facilities access and sharing arrangements..
  • Market profiles. Existing markets are considered in terms of market concentration, player profiles, investment trends and possible strategies.
  • Socio-economic considerations. These are incorporated in the analysis, both as challenges and opportunities.
  • Scenario analysis is used to show how current trends and alternate development paths may intersect, creating tangible possible outcomes and also highlighting potential opportunities and threats.

The report considers a five year horizon.

Key technologies which are considered include bearers (5G, fibre optics, Wi-Fi, low-power networks), network developments (cloudification, virtualisation, open sourcing, network slicing), machine type communications (internet-of-things – including applications, platforms and ecosystems), automation (machine learning, artificial intelligence – both within networks and as applications), legacy applications (such as voice), smart devices (smartphones, tablets, wearables), and over-the-top applications. These are examples – the actual report covers a wider range of technologies.

Drivers of network requirements are also considered, ranging from autonomous vehicles (ultra reliable, low latency requirements), to higher-definition video, augmented reality and virtual reality (high throughput requirements) and internet-of-things applications (low cost, low power, high density requirements).

Cross-cutting themes not covered above, are also included, ranging from security, to the shifting impact of global players.

Quantitative analysis and projections, in the context of important scenarios, is also provided, to support the qualitative analysis.

Sourced from: BMIT Blog. View the original article here.

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